| Introduction to Investing |
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Chapter 1: Intro to Investment
All of us have our own goals in life, even though the goal may be just as simple as buying a watch on the next pay rise. The question pondering many bewildered working adults - how are we going to achieve them all with the limited resources we have got? Investment not only serves to help us achieve the financial goals, it lets our money work hard for us, instead of the other way round. What is the future value of present 2 dollars in the next decade if you invest it? You will be amazed. Other than that, investment is also a good way to fight inflation, has this thought ever brush across your mind? Why is a cup of coffee which only cost 50₵, in our primary school days, cost us as $0.80 to $1.00 today. This is inflation at work. Albert Einstein once said that one of the greatest forces in the universe is the power of compounding. You probably learned that lesson as a child, which is putting away some of your allowance and watching your savings grow. One method to help us understand the power of compounding better is by "the rule of 72". In finance, the rule of 72 refers to a method for estimating an investment's doubling time. As most of the interests are calculated on a compounding basis, this rule helps us have a very fast and rather accurate estimation on the effect of different interest rate. So how does the rule of 72 work to double the worthiness of your cash? For instance, if you were to invest $100 with compounding interest at a rate of 9% per annum, the "rule of 72" gives 72/9 = 8 years required for the investment to be worth $200; an exact calculation gives 8.0432 years. Thus can you imagine the power of investing and compound interest? By starting early, one can actually be a millionaire through wise investing and power of compounding. Refer to the following article on how setting aside a small sum a month to become a millionaire. http://www.investopedia.com/articles/05/032105.asp. BE WARE, COMPONDING INTEREST CAN WORK LIKE A DOUBLE EDGE SWORD, IF YOU HAPPENS TO OWN BANKS MONEY IN THE FORM OF CREDIT CARD DEBTS, IT CAN REALLY BE A NIGHTMARE IF YOU LET IT COMPOUND! On the other hand, if one decides to leave his/her money in banks, the value of your money actually shrinks! Opportunity cost! For those who takes econs. This is due to the fact that most banks offer an interest rate of only 0.25~1% p.a. whereas for inflation rates this year, the official forecasted figure by MAS is 1% to 2%, which means in terms of purchasing power, your money is shrinking in the bank. "Watch your money grow!" Insightful investing with acute judgement will pave a way to your future financial success. "But how do we get there?" In the next chapter, we will discuss about the various types of investment instruments available.
Chapter 2: Different instruments of investment
Generally assets can be classified into 2 types, real assets and financial assets. Real Assets consist of land, buildings, machines and workers that are used to produce goods and services for the economy. The creation of real assets leads to improvement in the standard of living, as there will be more goods and services available to everyone. On the other hand, financial assets (also known as paper assists) consist stocks, bonds, futures, options, etc. They channel funds from the saving society to the investing segment of society. We can view financial assets as the means to by which investors hold their claim on real assets.
Types of Investment Assets 1. Money Market Securities
1a. Treasury Bills (T-Bill) Money markets issued by governments are Treasury bills. There are short-term government securities (for one year or less) issued by government to borrow money from the investing public to fund government expenditure. They are safest type of investments and are generally considered to be risk-free. Investing in a Treasury bill is equivalent to lending money to a sovereign government. The yield on Treasury bills is usually used as a benchmark for risk-free rate. Treasury bills are usually on a discounted basis. This means that investors pay an amount less than the face value, but will receive the face value at maturity. The difference between the face value and the purchase price represent the interest earned on Treasury bills, and is used to calculate the yield on such securities. 1b. Bank's Acceptance and Certificate of Deposit (CD) Money market securities issued by financial institutions include banker's acceptance and certificate of deposit; Banker's acceptance is issued to facilitate international commercial trade transactions, as it represents a claim on the issuing bank for a specific amount on a specific date. CD is a certificate issued by bank that indicates that a specific sum of money has been deposited with the bank. It bears a maturity date and a specific interest rate. 1c Commercial Paper This refers to short-dated unsecured promissory note issued by corporation. Like T-bill and bank's acceptance, it is issued at a discount to face value. Owing to the unsecured nature of this security, only corporations with strong credit rating are able to issue commercial papers. 1d Repurchase Agreement One of the ways in which secondary trading in money market securities takes place is through a repurchase agreement (commonly known as repo). A repo is the sale of a money market security with a specified price on a future date. In short, it is a collateralised short-term loan, where the collateral is the money market security. The yield on repo can be calculated using the difference between the sales and purchasing price. 1e Bank deposits These are time or fixed deposits with banks for fixed periods with fixed interest rates for the period. Generally, the longer the deposit period, the higher will be the interest rate. As all banks in Singapore are licensed and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, there is very little risk of loss of principal and interest. Time deposits do not provide a good inflation hedge, as the stated interest rates offered by banks at the inception do not change over the deposit period in response to changes in the market interest rates. Lastly there are penalties upon early or premature withdrawal, such as the loss of interest. 2. Fixed Income Securities Fixed Income Securities are debt instruments in which the issuer promises to repay to the lender the amount borrowed plus interest over some specified period of time more than a year. Fixed Income Securities can be regarded as IOUs (I owe you) issued by companies or governments to raise funds. The face value of the fixed income security is known as the principal while the periodic interest payment is known as the coupon interest. Fixed income securities may be classified by the currency in which it is issued, or by the issuers. Domestic fixed income security is denominated in the local currency while foreign-currency denominated fixed income security is denominated in a foreign currency. Euro band is an international bond dominated in currency not native to the country in which it is issued. It can be categorised according to the currency in which it is issued. Eurodollar is denominated in US dollar and sold outside the United States to non-US investors. Euro yen is denominated in Japanese Yen and sold outside Japan to non-Japanese investors. Yankee bonds are US dollar fixed income securities sold in the United States, but issued by a non-US corporation or foreign government. Issuers of fixed income security may be governments, statutory boards, supra-nationals or corporations. The yield on fixed income security is dependent on the maturity of the issue and the credit rating of the issuer. Generally, the yield on fixed income security tends to be higher for issues with longer maturity and/or lower credit rating. 3. Equity Investments
Equity investments have higher price volatility compared to money market or fixed income security. This is because the cash flow associated with the former is more volatile than the latter. The cash flows accruing to investors on money market or fixed income securities is contractual. The cash flow pattern associated with equity investment is volatile, as investors are entitled to the residue claims. Two main kinds of shares 3a Preferred Shares Preferred shares are a hybrid security. This is because a preferred share has features of fixed income security and equity. Preferred shares are shares which give the holder a right to a fixed dividend provided enough profit has been made to cover it. 3b Ordinary Shares Companies that go public issue ordinary shares to the investing public. When an investor holds an ordinary share of a company, he is a shareholder. As a shareholder, an investor owns part of the company and he is entitled to a portion of the profits (after the payment of debts, corporate taxes and other expenses) in the form of a dividend. 4 Derivative Instruments Derivative instruments are financial assets whose value is derived from an underlying asset- equity, stock market index, interest rate, fixed-income security, commodity- hence the term derivatives. For example, a stock index future is linked to the performance of a specified stock market. Derivative instruments include options, warrants, and futures. 4a Options Investors can buy a right to purchase or sell a security at a future date. 4b Warrants Known as transferable subscription right (TSR), is a special type of call option issued by corporation that gives the holder the right to acquire equity at a specified price within a designated time period, typically several years. Warrants are seldom issued on their own, but are often provided free as an attraction to rights or loan stocks issued by a company to raise extra capital. The warrants are usually detached from the loan stock and traded separately in the securities market. The options attached to the warrants can be exercised by subscribing for ordinary shares in cash, by exchanging the loan stock or by a combination of both. 4c Futures A contract where a buyer and seller are obligated to buy or sell an asset within a specified time period at a specified price. They differ from options in that there is an obligation to transact regardless of future price movement. Futures contracts are available on stock market indices, commodities, fixed income security, interest rate or currency. 5 Property Property is a good form of investment as in the past experience that on the average in most countries, real estate is a very good hedge against inflation because property values and the income from properties rise to keep pace with inflation. 6 Unit Trust A unit trust is a pool of co-mingled funds contributed by many investors kept in trust by a trustee and managed by a professional fund manager.
7 Life Insurance
8 Annuities An annuity is a series of payments guaranteed for a number of years or over a lifetime. 8a Immediate annuity
8b Deferred annuity
After knowing the different types of investment, you will probably want to know where you can go to to start investing. The following is about the different channels and platform that you can invest.
1. Stock brokers
Two types of brokerage firms For illustration purpose, there are basically two distinct types of brokerage firms, namely full service firms and discount brokerage firms. Here's a description of each.
Full service Brokerage Firms These are the largest, best-known brokerage firms in the country, who spend millions of dollars a year advertising their names. Examples are Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Merill Lynch, Paine Webber, and the like. They are all the same. The two words that should immediately come to the minds of investors when they hear the names of full service brokerage firms are expensive and often misleading. Other than that, they are great. In most full-service brokerage firms, there are three divisions, namely investment banking division, research division, and retail division. In general, investment banking division is what helps young companies make their initial public offering of stock and sell additional share in secondary offering; research division analyzes and writes evaluations, fact sheets, and periodic report on publicly traded companies; and retail division is what you and I deal with. It comprised of stockbrokers, who are really just sales rep, who call their clients and urge them to trade certain stocks. They charge large commissions that they split with the brokerage firm. The justification for the large commissions is that you are paying for all the research the company does on your behalf. But as researches can be misleading sometimes and are not always accurate, it may not be such a good idea to trade using this platform.
Discount brokerage firms As the name implies, deep discount brokerage firms charge lower commission that those charge by full service brokerage firms. They exist only for the purpose of carrying out stock trades. Investors don't get much research assistance. Discounters are ideal for investors who conduct their own research and merely need a broker to place their trades.
Online brokerage houses In the resent years online trading has been the hottest new babe in the market. It offers the lowest discount with the easiest accessibility, you only need to be familiar with the internet to trade. Asides from the ease to trade, often online trading platforms usually also comes with charts and other tools to aid traders to make better informed decisions.
Place Orders
Bid, Ask and Spread
There are three types of orders namely market order, limit order, and stop order. A limit order instructs your broker to buy or sell a security at a price you specify or better. That means if you say to sell a stock at $10, your broker will sell either at $10 or at a higher price. Of you say to buy a stock at $20, your broker will buy either at $20 or at a lower price. Limit order and stop orders have a time period associated with them. When you place a limit order, it is either a day order or a good-till-cancelled (GTC) order. A day order expires at the end of the current trading day regardless of whether or not its conditions were met. A GTC order remains open until its conditions are met, which might never happen. A stop order becomes a market order when a price you specify is reached. Like limit orders, stop orders are either good for the day or good-till-cancelled. If you own a stock and instruct your broker to sell it at current price lower than it currently trades for, that's called a stop loss because you're stopping your potential loss and protecting the profit you've already gained. When the price you specify in a stop order is reached, the stop order becomes a market order. That means your broker will then trade the stock at its current price. Buying stock online
See how simple it is? Just select the buy or sell button, enter the number of shares and the symbol, then push the market or limit order button. The market order button produces an order confirmation screen. The limit order buttons produces a screen where you select the type of limit order you want, your target price, and whether the order is good for the day or good until cancelled.
Chapter 4: Rational Investing with Portfolio Investment One and one reason that we NEED to diversify our investments is that simply no one can afford to lose all his money. In our opinion, there's only 2 ways to avoid that, 1st is never to time the market wrongly or be wrong on a bet.
This is the performance of the US DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE taken from Yahoo Finance as of 12 Sept. As we can see, the market is full of ups and downs, even with all the charting tools, it's almost impossible to say with a 100% certainty that whether the market is going to rise or fall. Therefore are you willing to bet all your money on just any stock? Are you so sure that nothing bad will happen to the market? What if events like 911 or another terrorist attack were to strike again in the US, can you afford to be wrong just once in your life time if you are going to invest all your money on a single investment? The 2nd option is a more practical way and that is to diversify, as the old saying goes, never put all the eggs in the same basket. Just like you don't want to have all your eggs broken when the only basket drops, you won't want to lose all your hard accumulated capitals to some bad timing in the market. Diversification will limit the potential downside of your investment and if planed properly is able to withstand market turbulences and give you the desired returns at the end of day. What is portfolio? It's not a port-of-Oreo biscuits... it's a basket of diff investments instruments. Think of it as a pie and recall the different investment instruments we talked about in the Chapter 2, now the pie has different pieces
Numerical illustration of portfolio diversification in the long run:
Long long time ago, on this small island in the southern sea of china, there's this guy named Dick. Dick is not very smart, when someone told him that investment can earn him big $ and him not been very smart, trusted whatever people told him. So Dick happily and blindly picks 4 investments, investment A, B, C and D, putting $2000 in each investment. Over the next 20 yrs time he realised he did not chose wisely, can't really blame him, I am sure a lot of people out there have this problem. On a yearly basis, Investment A was able to generate 10% interest, Investment B earned him 0% interest, Investment C lost 10% interest yearly and worst, Investment D generated -20% returns annually. Do you think he manage to earn any money? What is the return/loss for Dick during the 20 yr's time? Please take out your calculators. Come on don't be lazy, the answer As you can see for yourselves, he actually made decent gain!
The above is pure illustration only. No stock or unit trust can give the consistent 10% return like investment A, neither will any investment that loss 10% to 20% consistently likely to be in the market for 20 years. Only Investment B is likely to exist- fix deposit with interest rate same as that of inflation... The numerical example shows us how diversification can help to reduce risk. Even if one happens to pick a losing investment, diversification is able to limit ones' potential down side. Alongside with power of compounding, the losing investment's damage can be limited while the wining investments can do wonder for your finance. Therefore the rule of thumb here is to invest across different mix of investment vehicles. A sample diversified unit trust portfolio is shown in the following link by fundsupermart: https://secure.fundsupermart.com/main/investmentportfolio/investmentportfolio.tpl
Observe the different mix of asset class and geographic locations (equity vs bonds and US vs Europe). They are chosen because of their non-corresponsive co-relations. Meaning that a sudden drop in the US equity market is unlikely to have an adverse effect on the Singapore bond asset class. Risk appetite is usually assessed using the risk profiling method. It simply use a set of questions to find out a person's risk classifications, be it conservative, balanced, growth or aggressive. From there develop an investment mix that suits a person's investment appetite.
Chapter 5: Basics of Stock Selection
Just what is the stock market, and how do you begin investing in it? These are important questions, and many people are unclear about the answers. Understanding how stocks and bonds are traded, what's an index, and where to open a brokerage account will help you begin the investment process armed with your most valuable asset: knowledge. The Stock Market
Stock prices are determined by supply and demand - by sellers and buyers willing to buy or sell at a certain price. As demand goes up, the price rises, and when demand goes down, the price follows suit. An index takes a sample of stocks and uses it to measure the market as a whole or by a specific industry. Three of the most common indexes are: • The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). The DJIA is comprised of 30 blue chip (well-established, financially sound companies) stocks. • The S&P 500. This index is owned by Standard & Poor's, and consists of 500 stocks chosen for such factors as market size, liquidity (the ability to convert an asset into cash quickly and penalty-free), and industry types. • The Wilshire 5000. This index tracks the performance of most publicly traded, U.S.-headquartered stocks available on the major exchanges. So how do you actually begin? All you need is to open a brokerage account at a financial institution or brokerage house. As soon as you open your account, you can begin to buy and sell stocks and bonds - a process called trading. You can make trades with the assistance of a broker, over the phone, or online via the financial institution's website. Whether you do it on your own or with help, you will be charged a fee for each trade you make. • Your financial institution. Many credit unions and banks sell investment products, and they may even have financial planners on staff who can provide guidance. • A traditional brokerage house. These companies provide a wide range of services. They staff professional money managers who can help you with very specific investment advice (for a fee). Traditional brokerage houses tend to have higher commissions than other options. • A discount brokerage house. If you want to invest without professional assistance, a discount broker may be the right company for you. You will be charged for making trades, but it will be considerably less than if you had an expert assist you. Commissions are even less if the company is Internet-based. Research Before You Buy Even if you trust your broker or advisor completely, it is important to do your own research before you purchase any security. After all, it is your money on the line - win or lose, the person or company who sells you the investment product earns a commission. Remember too, to have realistic expectations. Don't take "hot" stock tips that promise a huge payout, particularly if you hear about it through an anonymous email! The best place to begin your research is the Internet. Visit the company's website and read all about it - including a history of its stock price, financial position, breaking news about products or services, and management. Whether you are buying stocks or bonds, it is important to know what you are getting into. Investing is an exciting, and most often worthwhile venture. Will all of your investments pay off the way you want them to? Of course not. Even professionals lose money. Expect setbacks and keep learning - you'll be on the road to riches before you know it. Useful links
End Note After reading this report, hopefully you will find something useful and hopefully will answer some of the questions you have in your mind, and at the same time will create some constructive questions that will propel you find out more about investment on your own. Here's some useful resource to improve on your investment knowledge... http://www.moneysense.gov.sg/publications/articlestier3.html http://www.investopedia.com/ http://www.sgfunds.com/ http://www.bloomberg.com/ http://finance.yahoo.com/
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